
NFL Player Props & Anytime TD Picks For Week 9: Drake London, Jonah Coleman & More
Justin Carlucci offers up his top NFL player props and anytime TD bets for Week 9, including Drake London, Jonah Coleman and a sprinkle on a Colts long shot.
We’ve got a full slate of NFL football this weekend, and we’re starting Sunday morning with a potential shootout in Spain.
Bengals–Falcons carries a 52.5-point total, and neither defense has given us much reason to believe it can ruin the party. Hopefully, nobody’s jet-lagged. With the way these units have played, I’m not sure it would matter.
We’re attacking that game from both sides, going back to Denver’s emerging running back and holding our nose for a Miami receiving prop. There’s also a tiny touchdown sprinkle at the bottom for anyone willing to get creative.
All NFL betting odds are via FanDuel.
NFL Player Props For Week 9
Drake London Over 78.5 Receiving Yards
We’re beating the same drum: when Michael Penix is running Atlanta’s offense, I’m interested in Drake London.
The Falcons are coming off a rain-soaked game that offered almost nothing offensively. I’m not letting that wash away what we know about this connection.
Last season, London commanded a target share north of 30% with Penix at quarterback. His involvement with Kirk Cousins and company looked microscopic by comparison.
Even with last week’s dud included, London still owns a 25% target share and a ridiculous 40% air-yards share.
The Bengals just allowed 36 points to Cam Ward and Tennessee, needing overtime to escape despite scoring more than 40 themselves. Not exactly a defensive masterclass.
Cincinnati’s offense should put pressure on Atlanta to keep throwing. London has the role, matchup and game environment for a big morning in Madrid.
RELATED: Fantasy Life's NFL Betting Game Model provides bettors with projected spreads, totals and projected win percentage for the home team to help bettors accurately handicap all Week 9 games.
Jonah Coleman Over 52.5 Rushing Yards
Denver has a new running back, and I don’t think the talent gap is particularly close.
Jonah Coleman returned from injured reserve two weeks ago and played 67% of the offensive snaps last week. J.K. Dobbins played just 21%.
RJ Harvey was unavailable, which matters when interpreting those numbers. Still, Coleman didn’t merely get involved. He took control of the backfield.
He also played all 10 of Denver’s snaps inside the 10-yard line. We’ll revisit that shortly.
This Over starts with volume, but Carolina gives us something to like beyond the workload. The Panthers rank in the bottom third of the league at preventing explosive runs and allow the ninth-highest yards before contact per attempt.
This kid is a stud, and I’m excited to watch him take over.
Malik Washington Over 41.5 Receiving Yards
Miami is a big underdog against Detroit, which is enough to get me looking through the Dolphins’ receiving options.
I know. Malik Willis and company might not strike you as an air-raid passing attack. But Washington is the guy here, and Detroit’s defense has been downright awful all season.
Washington averages a tick over six targets per game, with a team-leading 24% target share and 28% air-yards share.
The Lions have allowed by far the most air yards to opposing wide receivers, along with the second-most receptions and receiving yards.
Miami should have to throw while playing catch-up. We don’t need a pretty offensive performance, just enough passing volume against a defense that keeps giving it up.
Week 9 Anytime TD Picks
Jonah Coleman Anytime Touchdown (+105)
Let’s double down.
Coleman playing all 10 of Denver’s snaps inside the 10-yard line last week deserves its own conversation.
That doesn’t guarantee every goal-line carry moving forward, especially with Harvey’s availability affecting the backfield. But Denver was comfortable keeping Coleman on the field when the offense got close.
For touchdown bets, that’s where I want my guy. If this role sticks, I doubt we’ll keep getting plus money for long.
Zach Charbonnet Anytime Touchdown (+135)
Seattle didn’t get inside Chicago’s 5-yard line last week. Not once.
However, Arizona offers a nice get-right opportunity. Seattle is favored by 8.5 points, giving us a reasonable path to a favorable game script and more chances near the goal line.
We’ve seen Zach Charbonnet command work inside the 5 and 10 last year, including consistently sniping opportunities from Kenneth Walker when Walker was running at an elite level.
Seattle trusts Charbonnet to get downhill and finish drives.
Jadarian Price didn’t do much to move the needle last week, and I’m interested before Charbonnet’s usage becomes obvious again.
We don’t need him to dominate every snap. We need him getting the right ones. If he scores this week, you can kiss his plus-money TD odds goodbye moving forward.
Ja’Marr Chase Anytime Touchdown (-110)
Back to Madrid, where I’m comfortable betting on both offenses to have success.
Atlanta has done a good job selling out to stop the run. The tradeoff has been vulnerability through the air, particularly where it matters for this bet.
The Falcons have allowed 20 end-zone targets, the sixth-highest total in football. They’ve also surrendered 45 targets inside the 20-yard line, the most in the NFL. As if Joe Burrow needed another invitation to look Ja'Marr Chase’s way!
With a 52.5-point total, this game offers the scoring environment we want. Atlanta’s defensive tendencies give Cincinnati a reason to throw near the end zone, and Chase is an obvious candidate to benefit.
Seth McGowan Anytime Touchdown (+220)
This is my smallest bet of the slate.
With trade speculation surrounding Jonathan Taylor and Indianapolis selling off pieces, it’s fair to wonder whether the Colts might lighten his workload.
That’s a possibility, not a guarantee.
Seth McGowan played 23% of the offensive snaps last week but none inside the 10-yard line. I can’t point to a juicy goal-line role here.
Instead, we’re betting on potential paths to more work. Maybe Indianapolis eases up on Taylor so he doesn’t get hurt. Maybe Dallas puts the hammer down, and McGowan gets additional opportunities late when it’s ugly. Or maybe the rookie breaks a play from outside the 10 and saves us from needing a goal-line carry altogether.
At +220, I’m willing to make a tiny wager on those possibilities. Just don’t confuse this with a core play.
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